TowardsCivilWar

Sources: Part One, Part Two

The exeecutive summary of this series is that a civil war is likely in the West (primarily aimed at Europe, but with likely spillover or similar in the US). One of the key drivers is the tension between Islamic mass immigration into the West.

Part One notes that

Approximately 75 per cent of post-Cold War civil conflicts have been fought by ethnic factions.

Part Two describes the risk:

[T]he countries that are most likely to experience the outbreak of violent civil conflict first are Britain and France… moreover, it must be assumed that if civil war breaks out in one place it is likely to spread elsewhere.

Let us assume, based on the existence of recent statements to that effect by credible national political or academic figures, that there are at least ten countries in Europe that face the prospect of violent civil conflict. In Appendix 1, I provide fifteen such examples—readers may dispense with whichever five of those they deem less credible. The chances then of it occurring in any one of these countries over five years is 87 per cent (or 95 per cent if you include all 15 of the sample).

The key driver is

…the urban versus rural dimension of the coming conflicts which, in turn, is a result of migrant settlement dynamics. Simply put, the major cities are radically more diverse and have a growing mutually hostile political relationship with the country in which they are embedded… the life support systems of cities are all located in or pass through rural areas… None of this infrastructure is well guarded, indeed most of it is effectively impossible to guard adequately.

We see this already with sabotage attacks on infrastructure, even inside the US (c.f. the work on tracking TdA and similar organizations work).